2012 RPI Watch

[Hambone420]

the beaver is getting fed, and there isn't a damn thing ocean aggy can do about it.

[BUPIKE12]

the beaver is getting fed, and there isn't a damn thing ocean aggy can do about it.

Wasn't predict losses or anything. I just hope that out of our remaining non-con games that if we're going to lose any, that we lose against New Mexico State, Texas State, or UTA. Don't want to lose against A&M CC or UTSA.

[ValpoCory]

4/12 update:

Up to #6 in Boyds world and #7 in Warren Nolan.

Baylor went up to #6 in Warren Nolan now.

Boyds World has Baylor at #7 through Saturday, but they are certainly back up in the Top 6 after 2 Baylor wins and a loss by #6 A&M on Sunday.

[New Fite]

the beaver is getting fed, and there isn't a damn thing ocean aggy can do about it.

I prefer island aggy, but whatevs

[ValpoCory]

Up in the Top 4 for the first time in Boyd's World.

Still #5 in Warren Nolan.

[Jacques Strap]

top 4 is rare air

[ValpoCory]

Top 4 in Warren Nolan for the first time.

[BUPIKE12]

Up to #3 RPI according to Boyd's world...AWESOME.

http://boydsworld.com/baseball/rpi/currentrpi.html

Oh yeah, and according to our "needs" report, we can finsh the season 3-5 and still end up with a top 8 RPI. Great spot to be in.

http://www.boydsworld.com/baseball/rpi/rpineeds.html

[BUPIKE12]

4/25 Update:

Boyd's World Top 20 (teams of interest bolded)

http://www.boydsworld.com/baseball/rpi/currentrpi.html

1 Florida State
2 Florida
3 UCLA
4 Kentucky
5 Baylor
6 Purdue
7 North Carolina
8 South Carolina
9 LSU
10 Rice
11 Stanford
12 Central Florida
13 Miami
14 NC State
15 Arkansas
16 Cal State Fullerton
17 Arizona
18 Texas A&M
19 Ole Miss
20 East Carolina

[Hambone420]

up to 3rd as of right now

[Jacques Strap]

Taking 2 from #22 New Mexico State would help. 1 down 1 to go.

OU and UT are rated well below NMS.

[SoCalREman]

Ags can kiss the top 8 seed goodbye. They might host a regional at Ice Cream park, but not a super. Bummer!!!

SoCal

[ValpoCory]

Baylor is currently behind Florida and FSU in both

#3 in WarrenNolan through Sunday.
#3 in Boyd's World through Saturday. Florida lost on Sunday to #14 Arkansas, so we'll see.

[ValpoCory]

Still #3 in Boyd's World, through Sunday.

[Jacques Strap]

The RPI point differential looks fairly big between the Bears and the top two teams.

[Ross Ohlendorf]

Lamar Cardinals?

[BUPIKE12]

5/10 update

Top 20 RPI teams according to Boyd's:

1 Florida
2 Florida State
3 UCLA
4 Baylor
5 Oregon
6 LSU
7 North Carolina
8 South Carolina
9 Purdue
10 Virginia
11 Arkansas
12 Kentucky
13 NC State
14 Cal State Fullerton
15 Stanford
16 Miami
17 A&M
18 Rice
19 Arizona
20 Ole Miss

[BUPIKE12]

I haven't updated this thread very often because there hasn't been a whole lot of movement in Baylor's RPI, but I figured I'd revive this thread as we are roughly 72 hours away from the announcements of national seeds and regional hosts.

5/24 update:

http://www.boydsworld.com/baseball/rpi/currentrpi.html

1 UCLA
2 Florida
3 Florida State
4 Baylor
5 Oregon
6 North Carolina
7 Texas A&M
8 LSU
9 NC State
10 Virginia
11 Rice
12 Stanford
13 South Carolina
14 Miami
15 Purdue
16 Arizona
17 Arizona State *ineligible for the tournament
18 Kentucky
19 Cal State Fullerton
20 Arkansas
36 Oklahoma
45 Texas

A couple of questions:

Is Texas going to get in?

They are sitting at 45 right now in the RPI and are on the verge of losing to Kansas (165 RPI) which is going to put them in even worse shape. I'm going to go out on a limb and say they don't get in.

Who gets national seeds?

I found some good info from the Rice message board (they stole it from the LSU board and I'm stealing it from them) about the past RPI's of national seeds:

http://csnbbs.com/showthread.php?tid=570122

2011: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 10, 12
2010: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 9, 10
2009: 1, 2, 3, 5, 6, 10, 15, 19
2008: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 8, 10, 12
2007: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 15, 17
2006: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8
2005: 1, 2, 3, 5, 6, 11, 14, 17
2004: 1, 2. 3, 4, 10, 11, 12, 18
2003: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8
2002: 1, 2, 3, 4, 6, 9, 11, 12
2001: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 9, 15, 16
2000: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 11, 15
1999: 1, 2, 3, 4, 11, 15, 18, 20

UCLA, FLorida State, Florida are locks if you consider that a top 3 RPI team has NEVER not gotten a national seed.

Baylor is a lock with their top 4 RPI as well as their regular season Big XII championship (winning the regular season championship is a big factor that the committee takes into consideration when choosing national seeds).

I think Oregon is also likely a lock (assuming they win the PAC 12 regular season championship).

Despite their RPI being 9th, LSU is a lock...no way they don't give a national seed to the champion of the best conference in the country.

North Carolina almost defintely gets a ntional seed, although I wouldn't call them a lock.

That leaves 1 spot. Coming into the conference tournaments, I thought it was South Carolina's to lose. They put that in jeopardy when they lost to Vanderbilt last night. I still think South Carolina is in the drivers seat to get the last national seed, but they could certainly be left out if they lose to Auburn tonight.

This is the way I see the fight for the last national seed as it stands right now:
1) South Carolina
2) Rice
3) Texas A&M (Needs South Carolina and Rice to lose)
4) Stanford (I don't see the NCAA giving the PAC a third national seed and not the SEC)


Thoughts?

[Baylor3216]

texas always gets in regardless.

once they don't, then i'll change where i put my money. press my 6 and 8 on this one please.

[Hambone420]

good post, Pike. missed it yesterday

Texas is 51st in RPI. I expect them to be a 3 seed somewhere like Rice... committee gonna committee

agreed that our national seed is locked up, and so is LSU. I think, unless everything breaks right for aggy, that LSU-aggy and Baylor-Rice regionals will be matched up...