Redbrickbear said:

---

whiterock said:

---

Great article from City Journal

"One thing that stands out in the United States, however, is how fertility differs among the states—ranging from a low of 1.27 in Vermont to nearly replacement-level in South Dakota. Notably, the states with the highest birthrates are overwhelmingly Republican, and those with the…

— Josh Kraushaar (@JoshKraushaar) April 26, 2024

---

We are going to need every high fertility State in America we can get

The U.S. birth rate is now at the lowest level ever recorded. This is not going to reverse anytime soon: There's a big decline in 18yo who want to have children, esp. young women. (From "The Future" chapter of *Generations.*)https://t.co/OmUr134wmS pic.twitter.com/VK6aJrDyIl

— Jean Twenge (author of GENERATIONS, iGEN) (@jean_twenge) April 25, 2024

---

abortion on demand, no fault divorce, sterilizing adolescents for gender reassignment, etc......

We are doing an awful lot of things that mitigate fertility, so let's just let anyone who wants to walk across our border come and stay here, no visas required.

Imagine being triggered by this. https://t.co/cYHRKJtDfe

— James Lindsay, full varsity (@ConceptualJames) April 28, 2024

boognish_bear said:

---

The number of Americans aged 25–34 living at home has jumped over 87% in the past two decades, according to census data and Axios.

— unusual_whales (@unusual_whales) February 17, 2024

---

Multi generational households have been common in the third world for a long time.

You are already starting to see an increasing number of electric bicycles. People aren't riding these for exercise as they would a traditional bicycle. They are riding them as transportation given the increasing costs (insurance, gas, repair) of keeping a car on the road. My estimate is that as our collective standard of living continues to fall, you will see more "substitution" of cars with two wheel transportation. That's another feature of third world life, where those who can't afford a car ride motorcycles/scooters/bicycles or are relegated to public transport.

Hungary-like fertility policies flatly don't work.

Hungary has dedicated major resources to this - no taxes for 3+ kids, debt forgiveness, major subsidies for homes. It's actually equivalent to ~5% of their GDP. The US military is 3.2%, so big spending.

Nothing happened. https://t.co/ICmu43cieu pic.twitter.com/VNWRctggwc

— Hunter📈🌈 (@StatisticUrban) April 29, 2024

India is below replacement rate too? I hadn't realized that. pic.twitter.com/gW2jDiFFbR

— Random Walk (@MosesSternstein) May 3, 2024

So they are losing weight and they are now attractive?🤔

— floridanow1 (@floridanow1) May 10, 2024

People assume everything will improve if suddenly, lots of women in their late 20 and early 30s shift gears and start “dating to marry”. But that won’t happen – because generationally compounding decisions have generationally compounding responses. pic.twitter.com/JAQtGU8M1r

— ib (@Indian_Bronson) May 22, 2024

Now that we have outlawed abortion I am sure more women will want to step up and perform their duty for the Fatherland.

Limited IQ Redneck in PU said:

---

Now that we have outlawed abortion I am sure more women will want to step up and perform their duty for the Fatherland.

---

Abortion was about right and wrong and if the Child in the womb has a right to Life...and it was about Constitutional issues around States rights to govern themselves.

Abortion is of course NOT in the US Constitution so its open to debate.

It was far less about birth rate collapse. Though that is a good reason to argue for banning the practice since all over the world population collapse is going to be an issue in the 21st century.

For what its worth the legality or abortion does not seem to have much to do with fertility decline...its continues in countries that are very liberal on abortion and it continues to decline in countries that are restrictive of abortion.

Redbrickbear said:

---

Limited IQ Redneck in PU said:

---

Now that we have outlawed abortion I am sure more women will want to step up and perform their duty for the Fatherland.

---

Abortion was about right and wrong and if the Child in the womb has a right to Life...and it was about Constitutional issues around States rights to govern themselves.

Abortion is of course NOT in the US Constitution so its open to debate.

It was far less about birth rate collapse. Though that is a good reason to argue for banning the practice since all over the world population collapse is going to be an issue in the 21st century.

For what its worth the legality or abortion does not seem to have much to do with fertility decline...its continues in countries that are very liberal on abortion and it continues to decline in countries that are restrictive of abortion.

---

....but strictly speaking about policy impacts, abortion on demand is not helpful in slowing the decline or fostering recovery efforts. If one wants to remedy a shortage of pregnancies, the first and most logical thing to do is prevent intentional terminations of pregnancies. You get an immediate increase in the number of births.

Replacement birth rate requires(for the US) about 7.5m births. We had about 3.5m births. We had nearly a million abortions last year. That's a deficit of 4m births. lF a wand could be waived to have stopped all of those abortions, that would closes 25% of the gap.

There's no single policy that will fix the problem. "you eat an elephant one bite at a time." Eliminating elective abortions would be a pretty big response as far as policies go. And unlike the "incentive/inducement" options, it would have immediate impact.

Legal immigration is about 1m per year. that's another quarter of the solution.....
Illegal immigration is........(well, you can see why our government is pretending it can do nothing about illegal immigration. we are fixing several years of below-replacement birth rate by jet letting people walk across the border).

I was listening to something this morning about increasing levels of microplastics in testicles. It's an environmental contaminant.. No one is blaming that yet but apparently increasing levels call decreased sperm count in dogs. Maybe its playing a role.

For the 2020-2022 period, the survey found a TFR of 1.60 for Mexico, lower than the US for the first time in recorded history. Unfortunately, there is no breakup by state for this period.

— Birth Gauge (@BirthGauge) May 22, 2024